Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 35pp as whale flow diverges from price
The YES contract for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? slipped from 75.0% to 40.0% despite $9K whale net buys.
Jul 18
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 40.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract for Iran Gulf State attack drops from 82.5% to 42% despite $10K whale buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES contract on FDV above $10M market jumps 56.9pp to 97.9% in 24 hours
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $6K net flow into YES, confirming the market’s rapid repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES price drops 35.5 pp to 1.0% on Anthropic Fable 5 paid plan removal market
Whale trading diverged from the sharp 24-hour price plunge, signaling conflicting signals on Anthropic's Fable 5 paid plan status.
Jul 18
Breaking
Mandela Barnes’ 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Drop 16.5 Points Amid Whale-Seller Divergence
YES contract for Mandela Barnes fell from 24.5% to 8.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi exit odds jump 41pp to 69.5% on Polymarket with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 41.0 percentage point rise in the probability that Syrskyi will be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by end of 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Dplus Kia’s chances to win EWC League of Legends jump 61.4 pp to 69% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in the YES price, signaling growing conviction among top traders.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 24.1 pp to 95.5%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $6K net inflow into YES contracts amid $8K traded in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi’s Departure as Ukraine’s Commander Surge 30.4pp in 24h
Whale activity matched the sharp rise in market odds, pushing the YES price from 8.1% to 38.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 18
Breaking
Dplus Kia’s chances to win EWC League jump 64.5 pp to 72.2% on Polymarket
Whales backed the rally with $8K net inflow into YES contracts, matching a strong 24-hour price surge.
Jul 18