Breaking
YES price on Shabana Mahmood as UK Chancellor jumps 40.9 pp to 85% with $43K whale inflow
Whales and retail traders aligned in boosting odds for Mahmood’s 2026 UK Chancellor bid amid a surge in Polymarket activity.
Jul 16
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
UK Home Secretary market YES odds plunge 40.5pp as whale flow diverges
YES price on ‘no next Home Secretary in 2026’ dropped sharply from 58.5% to 18.0% despite $6K whale net buys.
Jul 16
Breaking
Messi’s Golden Ball odds leap 49.9 pp to 90% on Polymarket as whales back the surge
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump on the World Cup Golden Ball market, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” YES price falls 35 pp amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s odds for Iran military action drop sharply despite whale buying, signaling market reconsideration.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 23pp despite $10K whale buy-in
YES contract price on Polymarket fell from 94.0% to 71.0% as whale buying diverged from market pricing.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for no UK Foreign Secretary in 2026 plunge 22pp despite $3K whale buying
Whales increased YES bets by $3K while market probability for no next Foreign Secretary dropped sharply from 39.5% to 17.5%.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?” YES price plunges 47.5 pp in 24 hours
The market slashed its probability from 53.0% to 5.5% despite whale bets holding steady, signaling a sharp shift in sentiment.
Jul 16
Breaking
Alibaba AI model market drops 25.8pp despite $3K whale inflow
Polymarket's contract on Alibaba’s AI leadership at July 2026 falls sharply even as whales add $3K into YES positions.
Jul 16
Breaking
Mike Lindell’s 2026 GOP Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.5 Points to 46.5%
Whale trading aligned with the price surge as Mike Lindell’s chances in Minnesota’s 2026 GOP primary near parity on Polymarket.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 36.5 points despite whale buying
YES contract on Iran military action falls from 49.0% to 12.5% as whale flow diverges from price move
Jul 16