Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Polymarket's 'Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?' market sees a sharp price drop despite $13K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals from big traders and market pricing.
Whale activity aligned with price surge as Polymarket trades $20K on the model release question.
YES contract price for next Claude Opus model release fell from 86.5% to 71.5% despite whale activity moving against the price trend.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp halving in Yes price on Polymarket's Max Martin wedding market.
Polymarket’s YES contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State fell sharply despite whale bets favoring the outcome.
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as YES contract on Iran Gulf military action dropped from 73.0% to 31.0%.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in optimism for Claude Fable 5’s paid-plan extension, pushing Polymarket’s YES price from 54.0% to 77.5%.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in Polymarket odds for Claude Opus release within a week.
Despite whales adding $11K net to YES, the market slashed its probability from 79.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours
Whales bought $10K into YES even as the market slashed Max Martin's attendance odds from 80.5% to 49.2% in 24 hours.
