Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf action plunges 87.4 pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as the market for Iran military action on July 9 collapsed from 88.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
Trump UFO files declassification odds jump 25.5 pp to 87.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligns with a sharp 25.5 percentage point rise in the probability of Trump releasing new UFO files by July 15.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Jumps 39.5pp to 87.5% as Whale Bets Align
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged alongside whale bets, signaling strong conviction in a near-term release.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 dip odds drop 15pp to 74.5% despite whale divergence
Polymarket’s Ethereum July dip market saw a significant price drop while whale activity moved against the trend, signaling uncertainty among large traders.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market YES Price Jumps 42.5 Points to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 42.5 percentage point rise in odds for UFO file declassification by July 15.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton plunge 25.5 points to 65%
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket cut the implied probability for Binface’s finish
Jul 10
Breaking
French 2026 United Left Primary Cancellation Odds Jump 15.5pp With Whale Support
YES price for cancellation rose from 49.5% to 65.0% as whales contributed $7K net flow aligned with the price move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Declassification Odds Surge 54pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity confirmed the sharp repricing in the “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market, aligning with a $24K volume surge.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Collapse 61.7 Points Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw YES contract prices plunge from 76.5% to 14.8% while whale flow diverged, signaling skepticism among large traders.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 75.8pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?' market saw a sharp 75.8pp drop in YES price amid whale flow opposing the move.
Jul 9