“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES jumps 35pp to 83% on aligned whale flow
Whales and retail traders pushed the probability sharply higher to 83%, reflecting growing confidence in imminent disclosure.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 15 stories.
Whales and retail traders pushed the probability sharply higher to 83%, reflecting growing confidence in imminent disclosure.
Polymarket's 'Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?' market surged on aligned whale and retail buying, signaling strong conviction in the outcome.
The probability that Trump will declassify new UFO files by July 15 jumped from 47.0% to 77.5%, supported by whale flow in the same direction.
Whale bets matched the sharp rise in the market’s YES price, pushing it from 43.5% to 80.5% amid $58K volume.
Whale activity aligns with a sharp 25.5 percentage point rise in the probability of Trump releasing new UFO files by July 15.
Polymarket’s odds on Trump releasing new UFO files surged sharply alongside aligned whale buying, signaling strong market conviction.
Whale trades and market price moved together as odds more than doubled in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged sharply with whale activity confirming the price rally.
Polymarket’s odds surged sharply as whale activity supported the move, with $24K traded in 24 hours.
Whale activity matched a sharp 48 percentage point rise in the market’s probability for declassification by mid-July.