Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 11 stories.
Polymarket’s market for South Carolina Republican nominee sees a sharp 24.6pp decline in YES price while whale activity diverges from the price move.
Whale activity and price action aligned as market sharply repriced Nordone’s chances over 24 hours
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24.5pp rise in YES price, doubling confidence in Nordone's nomination chances.
Whale activity backed the sharp price surge, pushing Nordone's nomination probability past 50% for the first time.
Whale activity and price movements aligned as Nordone’s chances rose from 22.7% to 60.4% in 24 hours.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 54.3 percentage point rise in YES price, signaling strong conviction behind the move.
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate market sees a sharp YES price fall from 62.5% to 27.5% as whale flow diverges from the tape.
Polymarket sees a sharp drop in YES price for Evette with whale trading contradicting the price move, signaling market uncertainty.
Odds for Pamela Evette replacing Graham as South Carolina Senator dropped sharply despite no whale buying support, signaling a disconnect in market sentiment.
Whales supported the sharp rise in probability for exactly two incumbent losses in 2026 nominating elections.
