Breaking
“Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?” YES contract jumps 81.7 pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price surge, driving $9K net flow into YES amid $60K 24-hour volume.
Jul 14
#%srussia
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 6 stories.
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price falls 23.0 pp amid whale-flow divergence
Despite a $18K net whale inflow into YES contracts, the market price dropped sharply from 61.5% to 38.5% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?” YES price jumps 21.5 pp to 77.0%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.5 pp rise in the probability of Russian capture within 24 hours, pushing the market price to 77.0%.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia Capture of Kostyantynivka Jumps 28.5pp to 55% on Polymarket
Whales supported a sharp shift in odds, doubling the YES price with $28K net inflow amid $51K 24-hour volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds jump 33 pp to 66.5% with whale support
Whales contributed $18K net buying as Polymarket YES price for Kostyantynivka capture surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds jump 35.5 pp to 69% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with price action, adding $13K net to YES as market sharply reprices
Jul 12