Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?” YES price jumps 25.5 pp to 81.0%
Odds on Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by August 31 rose sharply alongside aligned whale activity, signaling increased market conviction.
Jul 12
#%sprice mover
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 13 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 40pp in 24h
Whale bets diverged sharply from price, signaling a split view on the likelihood of 40 ships crossing by July 31, 2026.
Jul 12
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton plunge 30.5 points despite whale selling
Polymarket’s market on Count Binface’s by-election finish drops from 90.5% to 60.0% as whale flow moves against the price shift.
Jul 10