Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi exiting as Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief jump 45pp to 71.5%
Whale bets aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, lifting the market's YES price from 26.5% to 71.5%.
Jul 18
#%sprice mover
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 13 stories.
Breaking
Databricks $180B valuation odds plunge 40pp to 15.4% as whale flow bucks price move
Whales pumped $4K into YES even as market slashed probability from 55.4% to 15.4% over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Claude Opus model release odds jump 24.5pp to 53.0% ahead of July 22, 2026
Whale activity matched a sharp 24-hour repricing that pushed yes contract price above 50% on Polymarket.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 53.2 pp to 91.7%
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as odds for Credible public sale commitment surged sharply on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?” YES price jumps 23.5 pp to 77.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in optimism for Claude Fable 5’s paid-plan extension, pushing Polymarket’s YES price from 54.0% to 77.5%.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds Trump Meets Netanyahu by July 20, 2026, Collapse 61pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's 'Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?' market saw a sharp 61pp drop in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?” YES price plunges 47.5 pp in 24 hours
The market slashed its probability from 53.0% to 5.5% despite whale bets holding steady, signaling a sharp shift in sentiment.
Jul 16
Breaking
‘Will the final be ESP vs ENG at 2026 FIFA World Cup?’ YES price plunges 49.5 pp to 3.0%
A sharp 49.5 percentage point drop in YES price diverged from whale flow, signaling a rare market split on the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup.
Jul 15
Breaking
YES price on Israel Yeshiva exemption jumps 76.5pp to 85% with $13K whale inflow
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in optimism for military exemption by September 30.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 53.9pp to 92.3% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $12K net buying, reinforcing a sharp shift in market odds over 24 hours.
Jul 12