Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 19pp to 61% with $55K whale inflow
Whale activity and price movement aligned as Polymarket sharply repriced the chance of talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 10
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026? YES price jumps 70.3 pp to 100%
Whale activity matched the surge, contributing $811 net buys as odds soared from 29.6% to certainty on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $65,000 July Odds Jump 19 Points to 85.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19.0 pp rise in YES price to 85.5%, reflecting growing confidence in Bitcoin’s July target.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket’s Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds drop 18pp despite whale buying
Ethereum dip to $1,700 odds fell from 81.0% to 63.0% amid diverging whale flow on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 41.1pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as Polymarket slashed the chance of Iranian military action on July 9 to 13.9%.
Jul 10
Breaking
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026? YES jumps 92.3 pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price surge, pushing the market from 7.6% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price plunges 36.5 points amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract for Trump signing housing bill by end of July dropped from 40.0% to 3.5% despite whale activity moving opposite the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 57.2 pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract for Iran military action on July 9 dropped from 71.5% to 14.2% despite whale activity opposing the price move.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate Exit Market Drops 22pp Despite $14K Whale Bets on YES
Polymarket's price for McConnell stepping down falls from 68.5% to 46.5% while whale flow moves $14K into YES, diverging from the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 21.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Ethereum’s chance of falling to $1,700 in July retreated sharply, with whale bets moving against the price shift.
Jul 10