Breaking
US Hormuz fees market YES price plunges 55pp despite whale flow
Whale trading diverged sharply from a 55 percentage point drop in the odds for US charging Hormuz fees by end-2026.
Jul 14
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Spain Semifinals Elimination Odds Plunge 53pp to 6.5% Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whales added $17K to YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price sharply dropped, signaling conflicting signals in the semifinal elimination market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel military exemption market surges 86 pp to 94.5% with $17K whale support
Whales and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Yeshiva students’ exemption by September 30.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES contract on Israel Yeshiva exemption jumps 85.5pp to 94.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in probability with $13K net inflow amid $23K total volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 in July market jumps 43pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whales added $14K net to YES as odds surged from 47.5% to 90.5%, aligning flow with price action.
Jul 14
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor odds jump 54.2 pp to 59.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a major price surge, signaling a rapid shift in market sentiment for the 2026 UK Chancellor question.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?” YES price drops 58pp to 10.5% amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s price for US charging Hormuz fees tumbles sharply while whale activity contradicts the sell-off, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?” YES price jumps 86.6 pp to 95.4% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rally with $15K net buys as the market’s odds surged from 8.8% to 95.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 49pp Despite $23K Whale Flow
Whale activity diverged sharply from a steep 24-hour selloff that cut YES odds from 68.5% to 19.5%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro no-release odds surge 61pp to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise in the probability that no new Google Gemini Pro model will arrive by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14