Breaking
Iran military action on July 15? YES jumps 48.5 points to 93.0% on Polymarket
Whale activity of $3K net inflow into YES contracts tracked the sharp price rise amid a $6K 24-hour volume surge.
Jul 15
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 42.8 pp despite $7K whale buying
Whale buying of $7K into YES contracts diverged sharply from a 42.8 percentage point drop in the market’s implied probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action market YES price jumps 47 points to 90.5%
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise with $3K net flow into YES contracts amid a volume of $6K.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price jumps 29.6 pp to 76.6%
Whale activity supported a sharp rise in odds, lifting market confidence in dissolution by mid-July.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?” YES odds jump 40.5pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the sharp price increase as YES contracts surged from 50.0% to 90.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro model release odds jump 60pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whales matched the surge with $6K net buys as the market sharply repriced the chance of no new model by July 31, 2026.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 32.5pp to 85.5% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whale net flow of $3K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran Gulf State military action market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Israeli parliament dissolution odds jump 33.6 points to 81% on Polymarket
Whale trading and price action aligned as market sharply repriced the chance of parliament dissolving by July 16.
Jul 15
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July Dip Contract Loses 36pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a sharp 36 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity moved against the sell-off in the Bitcoin dip market.
Jul 14
Breaking
53.0% YES price on UK Home Secretary market falls 38.5 pp despite $2K whale buy
Polymarket’s price on no next UK Home Secretary in 2026 slumps from 91.5% to 53.0%, with whale flow diverging from the sharp drop.
Jul 14