Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Polymarket’s odds for Iranian military action dropped from 91.5% to 58.0% in 24 hours despite whale activity not supporting the sell-off.
Whale buying and price jumps aligned as Polymarket’s Iran Gulf State conflict odds rose sharply.
Polymarket’s “US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp 17.0 percentage point decline in YES price, diverging from whale flow.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in the market’s odds, pushing the YES price from 7.8% to near certainty.
Whale activity diverged sharply from price as the market’s chance of $40M public sale commitment fell despite minimal YES-side bets.
Polymarket’s ‘Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?’ market jumps to 87% YES with whale flows confirming the sharp repricing.
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?” contract fell sharply despite minimal whale support, signaling retail-driven repricing.
Polymarket’s contract on Credible public sale funding sees a sharp 30.5 pp price decline while whale activity moves contrary to the price direction.
Whale trading aligned with the sharp 24-hour rise in odds, signaling growing conviction in dissolution by mid-July.
Whale activity and price gains aligned as Polymarket’s Ethereum price target contract jumped from 51.5% to 84.0% in 24 hours.
