Whales
$193K Net Whale Flow into YES on England to Win 2026 World Cup vs 21.6% Market Price
Whales have bought $945K against $500K sold, diverging from the market-implied probability of England winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 13
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Odds Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by July 31 drop 21.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?' contract saw a sharp 21.5 percentage point price decline while whale buying increased, signaling contrasting market signals.
Jul 13
Whales
$508K Whale Bet on John Fetterman Defies 0.65% Market Odds
A single trade by wallet @c0O0OLI0O03 challenges consensus in the 2028 Democratic nominee market with the largest Polymarket wager in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 25.7 points to 47.9% with whale support
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” market sees price and whale flow rise in tandem, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Push $370K Into Spain Win at 20.8% Despite Market Pricing
Net whale flow into Spain's 2026 World Cup win bet diverges from prevailing market odds in a $107.17M volume market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 63pp to 82% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts moved in tandem as the market sharply repriced expectations for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by July 31 drop 15.5 pp to 40% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverges from price move as market odds fall sharply in 24 hours on Kostyantynivka capture question
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran by July 31? YES odds drop 21 pp despite $101K whale buying
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 21-point drop in YES price, signaling conflicting forces in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for US blockade on Iran by July 31 drop 25.5pp despite $105K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25.5pp decline in YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Load $356K on France to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 38.9% Market Price
Whale buying diverges from market odds as $115.47M traded on World Cup Winner event with eight days to close.
Jul 13