Breaking
US Iran blockade odds surge 68.8pp to 99.8% as whales pile in $323K
Whale buying aligned with a massive 24-hour price jump on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction in a US blockade announcement by July 31.
Jul 13
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? YES odds jump 58.5 pp to 77.0%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in market confidence on Polymarket, pushing YES odds from 18.5% to 77.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 66pp to 98.5% as whales buy $262K
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket’s blockade market, pushing YES odds near certainty.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Market Drops 25pp to 59.5% Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whales bought $23K into YES even as Polymarket price fell sharply, signaling a split between big-money flow and market sentiment.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales net $198K betting YES on Argentina to win 2026 World Cup as market price lags at 17.3%
Despite a modest market-implied probability, large traders have surged their net bets on Argentina in the final days before the market closes.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 29pp to 56.5% as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” market saw a sharp 29pp decline in YES price despite $22K whale net buying, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for No Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026 Jump 23pp to 34.5% on Polymarket
Whales boosted bets with $4K net inflow as market price climbed from 11.5% to 34.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” YES odds jump 16pp to 71.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the sharp 24-hour rise in odds, underscoring stronger market conviction on Ethereum's price drop.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 32.5pp to 72.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price jump as market reevaluates conflict risk on July 13
Jul 13
Breaking
Polymarket’s Bitcoin $65K July odds plunge 20.5 pp as whales buy $16K YES
Despite a sharp 20.5 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity surged into the same outcome, signaling conflicting forces in the market.
Jul 13