The market for “Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” surged dramatically over the past 24 hours, with the YES price climbing 75.0 percentage points from 0.15% to 75.2% as of July 19.
This sharp repricing coincided with significant whale activity, where 92 unique whales contributed $77K in buy volume and $38K in sell volume, resulting in a net $40K inflow into YES contracts. Total 24-hour volume on the market was $85K, close to half of the lifetime market volume of $189K, indicating concentrated recent interest.
Whale flow aligned with the price move, suggesting that large traders supported the market’s rapid shift in sentiment. However, the Polymarket YES price of 75.2% differs notably from Polydata’s on-chain mid-price of 55.5%, highlighting some divergence between the market price and the on-chain data snapshot.
With 409 unique traders participating in the market to date, this move reflects a strong collective reassessment of England’s scoring prospects at the World Cup. The combination of a marked price increase and whale buying pressure signals a significant change in market consensus on this outcome.
| Market | Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2116724 |
| 24h price change | +75.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 75.2% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 0.15% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 55.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $40K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $77K / $38K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 92 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $85K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 409 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.