Whales
Whales net $356K buying YES on Argentina World Cup win as market price lags at 17.3%
Large whale purchases diverge from market pricing in the Argentina 2026 World Cup winner market, signaling notable insider activity.
Jul 14
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 39 pp to 81.5% with whale buying
Whales aligned with price move, adding $3K net into YES as market volume hits $6K
Jul 14
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance contract jumps 19.5 points as whales add $2K to YES
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” market rises from 68.5% to 88.0% with whale buying confirming the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 32.8pp to 100% on Polymarket in 24h
Whale bets aligned with price surge as market fully reprices Iran's Gulf conflict risk
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 45pp to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moves aligned in a sharp 24-hour revaluation of the Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? contract.
Jul 14
Whales
Whales net $475K into YES on France World Cup 2026 at 39.0% market price
Big wallets are buying YES on France despite the market pricing a 39.0% chance of victory, signaling a divergence between whale bets and overall market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Sara Rodriguez’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds fall 20pp despite $10K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.0 percentage point drop in Sara Rodriguez’s Polymarket odds over 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds plunge 25.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket's 'US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?' YES contract dropped from 38.0% to 12.5%, but whale flow increased YES bets, diverging from the price move.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?” odds drop 15pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s contract on US sanction relief for Iran fell sharply to 13% even as whales increased YES bets, signaling a split between large investors and overall market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 15pp Despite $61K Whale YES Bets
Whale buying on Polymarket contrasts with a sharp 15pp decline in YES price for Bitcoin hitting $65,000 in July.
Jul 14