Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 in July YES jumps 36.5 points as whales push odds higher
Ethereum price target market surged from 49.5% to 86.0% with whale buying closely tracking the price move.
Jul 14
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Odds for 30 Ships Transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, Drop 62.5pp Amid Whale-Price Divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract price fell sharply despite $31K whale net inflow betting on the outcome, signaling a split between market prices and whale behavior.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 58.2 pp in 24 hours
Whale buying diverged sharply from price drop as YES shares fell from 95.4% to 37.2%, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 44.5pp to 97% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 in July YES jumps 42.5 pp to 93% as whales back the surge
Whales added a net $13K into YES contracts as Polymarket’s price nearly doubled in 24 hours, signaling strong alignment between big-money flow and market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 53.5 pp to 41.5%
The sharp drop in YES odds contrasts with $30K whale buying, revealing a divergence between price action and whale flow.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 59.8 pp on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged from price, with $30K net flow into YES while odds dropped sharply.
Jul 14
Whales
$408K Buy on Argentina at 17.6% Implied Chance Defies World Cup Market Consensus
Wallet @TB14 backs Argentina with a large wager against the market’s 17.6% probability, joining broader whale buying in a $134M volume market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 37.4 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds on Iran’s Gulf State military action market amid $771K volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July YES Contract Jumps 39.5 Points on Polymarket
Whale buying matched the sharp 24-hour rise from 49.5% to 89.0% in YES price, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14