Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Odds Surge 59.2pp to 99.6% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour price jump with $15K net flow into YES contracts, confirming the market's rapid repricing.
Jul 15
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter halftime show odds plunge 49.9 pp as whales buy $3K in YES
Despite a nearly 50-point drop in YES price, whale activity increased buying, creating a rare price-flow divergence.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 57.5pp in 24h
Whale buying diverged sharply from the market's steep drop in odds, highlighting conflicting signals in the prediction market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Surge 35.5pp to 89.5% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Whales drove a net $18K into YES contracts as Ethereum’s price target odds jumped sharply, highlighting strong conviction in the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 40.4 pp to 92.3% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price jump on July 14 Gulf State conflict market, pushing odds from 52.0% to 92.3%.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price jumps 34.8 pp to 81.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices rose in tandem as traders sharply repriced the chance of early dissolution.
Jul 15
Breaking
France scoring most goals at 2026 World Cup drops 40.7pp despite $13K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour price decline, with YES shares plunging from 54.0% to 13.3%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Spain World Cup YES price jumps 36.5pp as whales buy $4K more
Polymarket’s World Cup market shifts sharply higher with whale flow backing the move, contrasting on-chain mid price.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 36.5 points to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $3K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise despite a large on-chain price gap.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 46pp Despite $25K Whale Buying
Whale buying of $25K into YES diverges sharply from a 46pp drop in probability to 22.5% on Polymarket breaking feed.
Jul 15