Breaking
‘Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?’ YES odds plunge 41.5 pp to 43.5%
Polymarket's Core CPI July contract saw a sharp 41.5 percentage point drop in YES price, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 15
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
“Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES odds drop 29pp to 34.0%
The market’s sharp decline in YES price contrasts with whale activity, which did not support the move.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?” YES price jumps 35.0 pp to 79.5%
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as confidence surged sharply in July 2026 heat records.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Surge 34.5 Points on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $22K net inflow as Ethereum price chance jumped from 56.5% to 91% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 23.6pp amid whale-buy divergence
While the YES price dropped from 27.5% to 3.9%, whales increased net buys by $44K, signaling a split between price action and large investor flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES odds drop 27.6 pp to 8.5% amid whale-price divergence
Whales bought $4K in YES contracts even as market price fell sharply from 36.1% to 8.5%, signaling a split between big traders and broader market sentiment.
Jul 15
Breaking
July 2026 hottest month market jumps 51 pp to 80.5% with whale buying
Whales contributed $11K net inflow into YES as the market sharply repriced from 29.5%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 26pp to 63.5% as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” market saw a sharp 26.0 percentage point drop in YES price, with whale activity moving against the price trend.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed July 2026 No-Change Odds Surge 32pp to 93.5% on $2.26M Whale Bets
Whale buying aligned with sharp market repricing as confidence in stable rates after July 2026 meeting jumps.
Jul 15
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Market Drops 57pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Whale buying of $15K into YES contrasts with a sharp plunge in price from 57.0% to 0.05%, signaling a market split on growth expectations.
Jul 15