Whales
$908K Net Whale Flow Bets on Argentina to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 19.7% Market Price
Whales have purchased $4.35M in YES shares versus $1.65M sold, signaling divergence from market odds ahead of closure in 5 days.
Jul 15
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Odds for Shabana Mahmood as UK Chancellor in 2026 surge 57 pp to 89.8%
Whales backed the sharp rally with $43K net buy flow, pushing the market price from 32.9% to near 90%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor YES contract jumps 72.3 pp to 86.9% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with the sharp 24-hour rise, pushing net $42K into YES as market volume hit $82K.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood’s chances as UK Chancellor surge 66.6pp to 85.9% on Polymarket
Whales backed the rally with $42K net buys as market sentiment shifted sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
YES price plunges 73.5pp to 18% on UK Home Secretary market despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp price drop on Polymarket’s UK Home Secretary 2026 contract, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellorship Odds Surge 51.7pp on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $30K net buying as the YES price jumped from 8.0% to 59.8% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
Nike World Cup shirt maker odds plunge 37.5pp as whale flow diverges
The market's YES price for Nike dropped from 58.5% to 21.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals between price action and whale activity.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for no next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026 drop 28.5 pp despite $4K whale buying
Whales bought $4K into YES as its price fell sharply from 63.0% to 34.5%, signaling a divergence between big bets and market odds.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood’s 2026 Chancellor odds jump 51pp to 57.4% with whale buying aligned
Whale activity and price moved in tandem as confidence surged sharply in Mahmood’s chances on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price plunges 46.9 pp amid whale-buying divergence
Despite a 46.9 percentage point drop in YES price to 7.5%, whales increased their YES bets by $4K, diverging from the market's sharp negative repricing.
Jul 15