Breaking
“Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?” odds drop 21.5 pp in 24h on Polymarket
YES contract on Credible public sale market falls sharply despite whale activity diverging from price move.
Jul 16
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 32.5pp despite whale flow divergence
Polymarket's market on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13 dropped from 48.0% to 15.5% in 24 hours as whale bets diverged from the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 36.5 points despite whale buying
YES contract on Iran military action falls from 49.0% to 12.5% as whale flow diverges from price move
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 Access Extension Jump 31.5pp to 66.5% in 24h
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market reassesses likelihood of extension by July 19.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 34pp as whale bets diverge
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract dropped from 50.0% to 16.0% despite whale flows moving against the price shift.
Jul 16
Breaking
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next UK Chancellor? YES odds jump 54.4 pp in 24h
Whale buying of $39K aligns with a sharp rise in YES contract price to 87.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 16
Breaking
Ostium FDV Above $100M Market YES Price Drops 15.5 Points Amid Whale Support for NO
Whales aligned with a 15.5 pp decline in YES price, pushing odds from 29.5% to 14.0% on $6K 24h volume.
Jul 16
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 in July Market Jumps 21pp as Whales Back the Rally
Whale investors added $12K net to YES as Polymarket odds on Ethereum hitting $2,000 rose sharply to 67.5%.
Jul 16
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds drop 27.3 pp to 63.2% despite $3K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from price action as Polymarket sharply cut Alibaba’s probability for best Chinese AI model by July 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 Extension Odds Jump 32.5 Points to 71% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as the market sharply reprices the likelihood of a Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access extension by July 19.
Jul 16