Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 39pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 39-point drop in YES price on Polymarket's Iran Gulf military action market.
Jul 17
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Russell Fry nomination odds drop 18pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate nominee market saw a sharp 18.0 pp decline in YES price despite whale activity not supporting the move.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price jumps 25.7 points to 96.7%
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds, pushing market conviction higher in a single day.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds jump 18 points to 77% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with rising YES prices, pushing market confidence sharply higher in 24 hours
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Contract Drops 28pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's ‘Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?’ market saw YES price fall from 65.5% to 37.5% despite $8K whale buying in the past 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $67,500 July target slumps 20pp to 31.5% amid whale flow divergence
Whale trades run counter to the 20pp drop in Bitcoin reaching $67,500 in July, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES odds drop 37.5pp to 34.0%
Polymarket sees a sharp 24-hour decline in odds amid diverging whale activity on Iran's Gulf State military action market.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?” YES price jumps 24.2 pp to 99.2%
Polymarket's contract on Trump accusing China saw a sharp 24.2 percentage point rise in YES price, with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds drop 34pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?” market saw a sharp 34.0 pp fall in YES price despite $11K whale net buying, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump-China election interference market surges 34.5 pp to 97% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the sharp 34.5 percentage point rise in the chance Trump accuses China by July 16.
Jul 17