Breaking
Trump Speech Length Market Jumps 80.5 Points as Whale Bets Align
YES contracts on Trump’s speech length rose from 16.0% to 96.5% in 24 hours, with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 17
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
NVIDIA largest company odds drop 24pp as whale buying diverges from price move
NVIDIA’s chance to be the largest company by July 31 fell sharply despite $32K whale buying, highlighting a split between price and whale flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Market YES Price Drops 45.2pp Despite $13K Whale Buying
Whale purchases diverged from a sharp 45.2 percentage point decline in Max Martin wedding attendance odds on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 24.9 points on Polymarket
Whales increased their YES bets by $5K as market probability surged from 31.5% to 56.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot AI Market YES Price Jumps 20.7 Points With $5K Whale Support
Whales added $5K net to YES as the probability for Moonshot leading Chinese AI by July 2026 rose sharply to 52.4%.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA Market Cap Odds Drop 21pp Despite $29K Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from price as the market slashed NVIDIA’s chance to be largest company by July 31.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple as Largest Company Odds Jump 17.9pp on Whale Buying
A sharp rise in Apple’s market cap probability on Polymarket was backed by $7K in whale net inflows, signaling strong conviction in the contract.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds drop 37.9pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's 'Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?' market sees a sharp price drop despite $13K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals from big traders and market pricing.
Jul 17
Breaking
YES contract jumps 16.5 points to 57% on Claude Opus release by July 22, 2026
Whale activity aligned with price surge as Polymarket trades $20K on the model release question.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 25.5 points to 80.5% with whale buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour increase in the probability of Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 17.
Jul 17