Whales
Whales add $1.14M to France World Cup 2026 YES as market prices it at 38.6%
Despite a 38.6% market price, whales have pushed a net $1.14M into YES on France winning the 2026 World Cup over 24 hours.
Jul 10
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds tumble 74.8pp despite whale selling
Polymarket’s Iran military action market dropped sharply from 84.0% to 9.2%, with whale flow moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 72.3 pp as whale flow diverges
YES price for Iran military action on July 9 dropped from 84.5% to 12.2% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” odds surged 37pp in 24h on Polymarket
Whale bets matched the sharp rise in the market’s YES price, pushing it from 43.5% to 80.5% amid $58K volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s chances for second place in Clacton by-election drop 29 pp in 24 hours
Despite a sharp 29 pp fall in YES price, whale trading diverged from the market move in the last day.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T Valuation Market YES Price Drops 20.5pp Despite $3K Whale Net Buy
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.5 percentage point decline in the YES price on Polymarket's OpenAI valuation question.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 83.3 pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw an 83.3 percentage point drop in YES price while whale bets moved against the price trend.
Jul 10
Breaking
GPT model market jumps 18.5 points as whales back higher score odds
The probability that OpenAI’s next GPT hits a 1480 score by end-2026 climbed sharply with aligned whale buying and retail volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Goldman Sachs Q2 Fees Market Jumps 34.5pp as Whales Back the Surge
Polymarket’s contract on Goldman Sachs Q2 investment banking fees rallies sharply, with whale activity confirming the price move.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket’s Bitcoin July dip odds drop 24.5pp amid whale selling
Whale activity diverged as Bitcoin dip odds fell sharply from 70.0% to 45.5% in 24 hours on $33K volume.
Jul 10