Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES contract jumps 44pp to 91.5%
Whale trading and price action moved in sync as market sharply repriced odds for UFO file release.
Jul 10
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? YES jumps 18.5 pp in 24h
Whales increased exposure by $3K as Polymarket YES price surged to 42.5%, diverging from on-chain mid-price.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” odds surged 38pp in 24h on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood to 87.5%.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds fall 16.5pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged from the sharp 16.5pp drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Ethereum dip contract.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pour $1.26M Into Morocco Win Market Despite 0.05% Price
Large traders are heavily backing Morocco to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup even as the market assigns it a near-zero chance, highlighting a stark divergence between whale bets and crowd consensus.
Jul 10
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 31, 2026 Release Odds Drop 16.6pp Amid Whale Divergence
YES price on Polymarket slid from 88.6% to 72.0% while whales added $2K net, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60,000 July dip odds plunge 30pp as whale flow diverges on Polymarket
Polymarket’s 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?' YES contract dropped from 76.5% to 46.5% despite whale inactivity, signaling retail-driven sell-off.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds collapse 92.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a steep 24-hour drop in the Iran Gulf military action market, signaling conflicting trader signals.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July dip odds fall 24pp as whale flow diverges from price
Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July contract on Polymarket dropped from 72.5% to 48.5% despite whale inactivity, signaling retail-driven repricing.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pump $1.34M Into France 2026 World Cup Win Despite 38.6% Market Price
Whale buying on France's 2026 World Cup victory contrasts with the market's lower implied probability amid $108M total volume.
Jul 10