Breaking
Anthropic Math AI odds tumble 31.5 pp to 37% despite $3K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharply lower market prices, signaling conflicting views on Anthropic’s AI model prospects.
Jul 10
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Grok model debut plunges 60pp despite whale opposition
Whale trades diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in odds for xAI’s next Grok model scoring 1460 by end-2026.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” YES odds drop 21pp amid whale selling
Ethereum price dip odds on Polymarket fell from 84.0% to 63.0% despite whale selling, signaling trader skepticism.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate exit odds drop 21pp to 47.5% amid whale-flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES price for McConnell stepping down fell sharply despite $16K whale net buying, revealing a split between price action and large trader behavior.
Jul 10
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 19pp to 60.5% on whale buying
Whales fueled a sharp 24-hour rise in the Polymarket contract’s YES price, pushing it from 41.5% to 60.5%.
Jul 10
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 25 points with $48K whale buy-in
Whale activity and price gains aligned as market odds surged from 41.5% to 66.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 22.5 points as whales back YES with $35K net flow
Polymarket’s YES price for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026, climbed sharply alongside whale buying, signaling growing market conviction.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K dip odds fall 15pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?” market sees YES price drop from 60.0% to 45.0% despite whale activity moving opposite direction.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Add $200K to England Win Bet Despite 15.4% Market Price
Whale buying diverges from market odds on England’s 2026 World Cup chances amid $91.90M volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds fall 18pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” market dropped from 85.0% to 67.0% while whale flow diverged from price action.
Jul 10