Whales
Whales Buy $362K in LeBron James 2028 US President Market Despite 0.35% Price
Large traders are heavily accumulating YES on LeBron James winning the 2028 US Presidential Election while the market price remains near zero.
Jul 15
#%sprediction-markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 81 stories.
Whales
$804K bet defies 0.05% odds on England to win 2026 World Cup
Top-20 trader @BreakTheBank places $1.34M in three large bets including $804K against market consensus on England’s 2026 World Cup chances
Jul 15
Whales
Whale buys $291K on Spain to win 2026 World Cup at 58.1% market probability
A single wallet moved $476K today on Spain’s 2026 World Cup win market, aligning with broader whale buying despite the market’s moderate implied chance.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Nothing Ever Happens: July” YES price jumps 27.5pp to 91% with $5K whale inflow
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in odds, pushing the YES price from 63.5% to 91%, signaling strong conviction in this outcome.
Jul 15
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? YES price drops 17pp amid whale selling
Polymarket’s “US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp 17.0 percentage point decline in YES price, diverging from whale flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price drops 30.5 pp to 16.0% amid whale-flow divergence
Polymarket’s contract on Credible public sale funding sees a sharp 30.5 pp price decline while whale activity moves contrary to the price direction.
Jul 15
Breaking
YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit plunges 51.6pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket's contract on 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, sees a sharp price drop to 41.0%, while whales add $37K to YES positions.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 44.9 points amid whale flow divergence
The YES contract dropped from 51.5% to 6.7% while whale net buying pushed $39K into YES, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Hormuz ship transit plunges 53.2 pp despite $31K whale buying
Sharp 24-hour drop in YES price clashes with whale flow, revealing market uncertainty on Strait of Hormuz transit
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price plunges 48.6 pp to 46.8% on Hormuz transit market as whale flow diverges
Whale buying of $30K contrasts with sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket odds for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14