Breaking
Trump Speech Length Market Jumps 86.6pp to 99.1% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp price surge as odds for Trump’s speech length between 25-30 minutes near certainty.
Jul 17
#%sprediction-markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 81 stories.
Breaking
“Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?” YES price drops 44pp to 1.1% amid whale flow divergence
The market’s sharp 44 percentage-point plunge contrasts with $5K whale buying, signaling conflicting signals from large traders and price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump accusing China of election interference odds surge 21.5pp to 83.5%
Whale activity matched a sharp 21.5 percentage point jump in YES price over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price drops 41.8 pp in 24h on Polymarket
The market’s YES price fell from 82.9% to 41.1% while whales bought $4K net, diverging from price direction.
Jul 16
Breaking
Bitcoin $67,500 July contract dives 23pp as whale flow contradicts price move
Polymarket's “Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?” market saw a sharp 23.0 pp drop in YES price while whale flow diverged, signaling mixed conviction.
Jul 16
Breaking
Polymarket Breaking: Trump-Netanyahu Meeting Odds Drop 41pp Despite Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from price action as the Trump-Netanyahu meeting market's YES contract fell sharply from 77.5% to 36.5%.
Jul 16
Breaking
YES price on $35M Credible public sale market drops 15.5pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract price fell from 42.0% to 26.5% while whale activity did not follow the decline, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 16
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds drop 30.1 pp to 60.2% despite $3K whale buy flow
Whales bought $3K of YES contracts while market price fell sharply, signaling conflicting signals on Alibaba’s AI leadership chances.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES odds jump 37pp to 90.5% in 24h
Whales backed the surge with a $52K net inflow, aligning strongly with the sharp price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 26pp to 84.5%
Whale buying of $51K aligned with a sharp 24-hour odds increase on Polymarket, pushing the market’s YES price from 58.5% to 84.5%.
Jul 16