Breaking
Trump-China election interference accusation contract jumps 31pp to 93.5%
Whale activity aligned with the sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket’s July 16 event.
Jul 17
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Claude Opus July 31, 2026 Release Market YES Price Drops 15pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
YES contract price for next Claude Opus model release fell from 86.5% to 71.5% despite whale activity moving against the price trend.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump accusing China of election interference odds surge 21.5pp to 83.5%
Whale activity matched a sharp 21.5 percentage point jump in YES price over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July contract YES price drops 24pp despite $6K whale buying
Whales bought $6K into the YES side as Polymarket’s odds on Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell sharply from 63.5% to 39.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 40.1 pp despite $11K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp halving in Yes price on Polymarket's Max Martin wedding market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Drop 41.5 Points Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract saw a sharp 41.5 percentage point decline in YES price, while whale flow moved against the price direction.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price plunges 80.8pp despite $24K whale buying
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market dropped from 81.5% to 0.65% even as whales bought $24K into YES contracts, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
‘Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?’ YES price plunges 80.9 pp to 1.6%
Polymarket's odds on a Trump-Netanyahu meeting collapsed despite whale bets diverging from the sharp price drop.
Jul 17
Daily
Polymarket Sees $38.20M in 24-Hour Volume, 34% Below Recent Average
Trading activity on Polymarket slowed to $38.20M in volume with over 1.8M trades across 53,011 wallets active in the last day.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple’s July 31 market cap odds jump 16.4 points as whales back YES
Polymarket’s market on Apple’s market cap leadership sees coordinated price and whale buying, pushing YES odds from 10.5% to 26.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 17