Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Polymarket’s Bitcoin price target contract fell sharply despite whale activity moving against the price shift, signaling uncertainty in large bets.
Whale activity aligned with price surge as Polymarket trades $20K on the model release question.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour increase in the probability of Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 17.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market sees a sharp 29.0 percentage point fall in YES price amid whale buying that diverges from the price move.
Polymarket's contract on Trump’s speech length jumps from 11.0% to certainty as whale bets and price move in sync.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp drop in market odds, signaling mixed signals on Trump’s accusation timing.
The contract’s YES price dropped from 46.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours even as whales increased their net buying by $5K, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Despite a sharp 44.0 percentage-point drop in YES price, whale activity did not support the sell-off in Trump speech duration market.
Whales bought $5K into YES even as its price collapsed from 37.5% to 1.1%, signaling a sharp divergence between flow and market odds.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract fell sharply from 69.0% to 29.5% even as whale flow diverged by supporting YES.
