Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 34pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State dropped from 65.5% to 31.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Market YES Price Drops 45.2pp Despite $13K Whale Buying
Whale purchases diverged from a sharp 45.2 percentage point decline in Max Martin wedding attendance odds on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Odds Jump 22.5 Points with Whale Support
Bitcoin dip market on Polymarket surged from 60.5% to 83.0% as whales added $9K net into YES contracts.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 24.9 points on Polymarket
Whales increased their YES bets by $5K as market probability surged from 31.5% to 56.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot AI Market YES Price Jumps 20.7 Points With $5K Whale Support
Whales added $5K net to YES as the probability for Moonshot leading Chinese AI by July 2026 rose sharply to 52.4%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump Speech Length Market Jumps 82.5 Points to 93.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds for Trump’s speech lasting 25 to 30 minutes, confirming the rapid market repricing.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple’s odds to be largest company by July 31 jump 20.9 pp to 34.9%
Whales backed the surge with $7K net buys, aligning with a sharp market revaluation in the last 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA Market Cap Odds Drop 21pp Despite $29K Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from price as the market slashed NVIDIA’s chance to be largest company by July 31.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple as Largest Company Odds Jump 17.9pp on Whale Buying
A sharp rise in Apple’s market cap probability on Polymarket was backed by $7K in whale net inflows, signaling strong conviction in the contract.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds drop 37.9pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's 'Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?' market sees a sharp price drop despite $13K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals from big traders and market pricing.
Jul 17