Breaking
Trump Speech 30+ Minutes Contract YES Price Plunges 36.4pp Despite Whale Silence
The odds that Trump's speech lasts at least 30 minutes collapsed from 36.5% to 0.05%, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 39pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 39-point drop in YES price on Polymarket's Iran Gulf military action market.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?” YES odds jump 18.5 pp to 82.5% as whales back move
Whale activity and market price moved in tandem on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction behind the surge in Bitcoin dip odds.
Jul 17
Breaking
Russell Fry nomination odds drop 18pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate nominee market saw a sharp 18.0 pp decline in YES price despite whale activity not supporting the move.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES price drops 47.5pp to 24.0%
YES contract price plunges from 71.5% to 24.0% despite whale flow moving against the trend
Jul 17
Breaking
“Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 18pp to 79.5%
Whales supported the sharp 18.0 percentage point rise in YES price with $2K net inflow, aligning with the market rally.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price jumps 25.7 points to 96.7%
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds, pushing market conviction higher in a single day.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds jump 18 points to 77% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with rising YES prices, pushing market confidence sharply higher in 24 hours
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Contract Drops 28pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's ‘Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?’ market saw YES price fall from 65.5% to 37.5% despite $8K whale buying in the past 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $67,500 July target slumps 20pp to 31.5% amid whale flow divergence
Whale trades run counter to the 20pp drop in Bitcoin reaching $67,500 in July, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 17