Breaking
NVIDIA second-largest market cap odds jump 20.5pp to 36% as whales buy $5K YES
NVIDIA’s chance to be world’s second-largest company by July 31 sharply repriced alongside $28K whale buy volume in 24 hours
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 40.3 pp to 95.3% as whales back YES with $10K
Whale buying aligns with sharp 24-hour price rise on Polymarket’s Iran Gulf State military action question.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 42.0 pp in 24h
Polymarket’s contract surged from 39.5% to 81.5% as whale activity confirmed the rally amid $94K volume.
Jul 17
Breaking
Polymarket’s Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds drop 19.5pp amid whale buying divergence
YES price fell from 57.5% to 38.0% while whales bought $7K into the same outcome, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin attendance odds drop 36pp despite $11K whale buy-in
Whales bought $11K in YES contracts even as market price for Max Martin at Taylor Swift's wedding plunged 35.9 percentage points.
Jul 17
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Attack Odds Surge 16.5 Points to 49.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as market reassesses the likelihood of Houthis targeting shipping by July 31, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price drops 41.4 pp despite $11K whale buys
Whales bought $11K into YES contracts even as the market price plunged from 65.0% to 23.6% in 24 hours, signaling a divergence between whale activity and price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 17 pp despite whale resistance
Polymarket's “Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” contract drops from 25.5% to 8.5% as whale flow diverges from price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?” YES price jumps 26.7 pp to 87.7% on whale buying
Ethereum dip odds surged sharply alongside $6K net whale inflows, signaling strong conviction on a near-term price drop.
Jul 17
Breaking
Odds that Russia and Ukraine will meet diplomatically by July 31, 2026, drop 23.5 pp to 34.5%
Whale buying diverged from falling prices as the market sharply lowered the chance of a diplomatic meeting.
Jul 17