Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds collapse 95.5pp as whale bets diverge
YES price on SpaceX launch contract plunges from 95.5% to 0.05% despite $21K whale net buying, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s GOP Senate Nomination Odds Surge 59.5pp to 73.6%
Whale trading aligned with sharp price rise, signaling strong conviction in Nordone's nomination chances.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds fall 28pp as whale bets diverge
Polymarket’s “Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?” contract dropped from 77.5% to 49.5% despite whale flows moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone Senate Nominee Odds Surge 55.7 Points to 70% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 55.7 percentage point jump in the likelihood Darline Graham Nordone wins the South Carolina Republican Senate nomination.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Market YES Price Drops 15pp Despite $16K Whale Buy
Whales increased their YES bets by $16K even as the market price for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell sharply from 47.5% to 32.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 49pp as whales back YES with $14K net flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market more than doubled in probability amid aligned whale buying.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22 release odds jump 25.5 points to 62%
Whale activity mirrored the sharp rise in YES price, reinforcing the market’s growing confidence.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 92.3pp to 0.15% in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from market price as Polymarket slashed chances of launch by July 17.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 86.9pp Despite $28K Whale Bets
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?” market plunged from 87.0% to 0.15% even as whales bought $28K in YES contracts, signaling a sharp divergence between price action and large investor flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 31.5pp despite whale buying
YES price for Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 extension fell from 76.5% to 45.0% as whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 17