Breaking
Lucy Powell’s odds to be UK Culture Secretary jump 43.1 points to 47.6% in 24h
Whale activity backed the sharp price rise as the market’s 24-hour volume reached $6K, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 20
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
US halt in Iran offensive by July 21? YES price jumps 19.5 points on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds as market confidence in a US announcement grows.
Jul 20
Breaking
UBJP’s chances surge 24.5 points to 77.5% in BARMM election market
Polymarket's market on UBJP winning the most seats in 2026 BARMM elections sees aligned whale activity and a sharp price jump.
Jul 20
Breaking
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? YES price drops 15.5 pp amid whale sell-off
Whale activity diverged from price movement as YES odds on Iran withdrawal fell from 29.0% to 13.5% despite $21K net whale inflow.
Jul 20
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 46.6 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price despite $3K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals between price and large traders.
Jul 20
Breaking
UBJP’s chances jump 18.5 points to 77.5% in BARMM election market
Polymarket’s latest data shows whale activity confirming a sharp price increase on UBJP winning most seats in 2026 BARMM elections.
Jul 20
Breaking
‘Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?’ YES jumps 37 points to 99.6% on $1.12M whale flow
Whales and price moved in sync as the market surged from 62.5% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo YES contract jumps 37.4 points to 99.4% on $1.11M whale buys
Whales and retail traders pushed the probability sharply higher together, driving near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo Market Jumps 37.4 Points as Whales Back YES with $1.11M
The sharp rise in YES price to 99.4% was reinforced by $1.11M whale net inflow, showing strong conviction in the outcome.
Jul 20
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi exit odds jump 23pp to 63% on aligned whale buying
Whale flow supported a sharp price rise in the Polymarket contract on Syrskyi’s Ukraine Commander-in-Chief status by mid-2026.
Jul 20