Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds drop 22.5 pp to 39% despite whale selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market pared back expectations for ceasefire continuation through July 31.
Jul 19
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price jumps 28.0 pp to 59.7%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, lifting odds from 31.6% to 59.7%.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe’s Top Scorer Odds Surge 52pp to 93.5% on $539K Whale Buy-In
Whale activity and retail trading aligned as Polymarket sharply repriced Kylian Mbappe's 2026 World Cup top scorer chances.
Jul 19
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive odds plunge 45pp to 4.5% amid whale divergence
Polymarket’s ‘US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?’ market saw a sharp drop in YES price, while whale flow moved opposite the price trend.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Market Surges 52pp to 93.5% with $533K Whale Support
Whale activity and a sharp price jump pushed confidence in Mbappe as 2026 World Cup top scorer to new heights within 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds plunge 29pp despite whale buying on Polymarket
Polymarket’s “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?” contract fell from 61.5% to 32.5% even as whales added to YES positions, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
England 3rd Place at 2026 World Cup Contract Jumps 65.5pp to 100% on Whale Buying
Whales poured $164K into YES contracts as Polymarket’s odds surged from 34.5% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
France Top Goalscorer Market Surges 51pp to 92.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, signaling strong market confidence in a French top scorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 19
Breaking
England 3rd Place World Cup Odds Surge 65.5pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise with $154K net buys, driving the market to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Odds Surge 52pp to 93.5% on $538K Whale Bets
Whale buying and price movement aligned as Mbappe’s market share more than doubled in 24 hours.
Jul 19