Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 37.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?' market saw a sharp price fall despite whale activity moving against the trend.
Jul 10
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 21.5 Points as Whale Bets Diverge
Ethereum’s July dip market fell from 81.5% to 60.0% despite whale flow moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 41.1pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as Polymarket slashed the chance of Iranian military action on July 9 to 13.9%.
Jul 10
Breaking
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026? YES jumps 92.3 pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price surge, pushing the market from 7.6% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K dip odds on Polymarket slide 22.5 points as whale bets diverge
Whale activity on Polymarket bucks the sharp 22.5 percentage point drop in Bitcoin dip odds over 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price plunges 36.5 points amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract for Trump signing housing bill by end of July dropped from 40.0% to 3.5% despite whale activity moving opposite the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 57.2 pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract for Iran military action on July 9 dropped from 71.5% to 14.2% despite whale activity opposing the price move.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate Exit Market Drops 22pp Despite $14K Whale Bets on YES
Polymarket's price for McConnell stepping down falls from 68.5% to 46.5% while whale flow moves $14K into YES, diverging from the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 21.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Ethereum’s chance of falling to $1,700 in July retreated sharply, with whale bets moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 26.1 points despite $3K whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?' YES price.
Jul 10