Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds slide 23.5 points as whale flow diverges
YES contract on Ethereum dip dropped from 84.0% to 60.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds fall 17.5 points despite whale buying
Price on Count Binface’s Clacton by-election finish slid from 86.5% to 69.0% as whale activity diverged from the market move.
Jul 10
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?’ YES price plunges 30.8 pp amid whale flow-price split
While the YES price collapsed from 32.3% to 1.5% in 24 hours, whales increased net bets by $5K, showing a notable divergence between price action and whale activity.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 60.4 pp to 99.9%
Whale activity tracked the sharp surge in odds, pushing the market close to certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 20.5 pp as whale buying diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?” YES contract dropped from 22.0% to 1.5%, while whales added $5K in net YES bets.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” YES price jumps 25pp to 90.5%
Polymarket's Bitcoin price target contract surged as whale trading aligned with the sharp upward repricing.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 65pp despite whale bets on YES
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw YES price collapse from 82.0% to 17.0% even as whales increased YES exposure.
Jul 10
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds jump 25pp to 79.5% on Polymarket
Whales increased exposure by $925, moving in step with the sharp rise in YES contract price.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price surges 50.4 pp to 99.0%
Whale activity matched the sharp odds shift as the market priced near certainty on UFO file release by mid-July.
Jul 10
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 Credit Loss Provision Odds Jump 28.5 Points to 83%
Whale activity aligned with the surge, adding $925 net into YES contracts amid a $5K 24-hour volume.
Jul 10