Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?” YES jumps 22 pp to 64% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, signaling renewed confidence in a US blockade announcement by year-end.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Odds for 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 37pp in 24h
Polymarket's market on Strait of Hormuz ship traffic saw a sharp decline in YES price amid diverging whale activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
US warship transit through Strait of Hormuz odds jump 25 pp to 54.5%
Polymarket whales increased exposure alongside a sharp price rally in the US naval deployment market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Yes price on Hormuz ship transit market plunges 45.5 pp amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s “Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp 24.5% price drop despite whale activity moving against it.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for US warships through Strait of Hormuz rose 30pp to 59.5% in 24h
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp price jump on Polymarket’s $6K-volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price on Hormuz ship transit plunges 52.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 saw a sharp repricing amid contrasting whale activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US Iran blockade jumps 31pp with whale buying support
The market’s rapid 31.0 percentage point rise to 63.0% was matched by $20K net whale inflows, signaling strong conviction in the move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action on July 12? YES price jumps 51pp to 65.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with rising odds as the market priced in a significant increase in the likelihood of military action.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?” YES price jumps 29.0 pp to 70.0%
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in odds with $18K net inflow, aligning with the price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 88pp to 92.5% with whale buying on July 12
Whales drove a $4K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumped sharply.
Jul 12