Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 50.5pp to 77.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, lifting the market from 27.0% to 77.5% certainty.
Jul 13
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 62.5 pp to 81.5% in 24 hours
Whale activity aligned with a sharp shift in market sentiment on Polymarket, driving YES contract price from 19.0% to 81.5%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 24pp to 60.5% as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a sharp 24 percentage-point decline in YES price, whales increased net buying by $20K, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 32.5pp to 72.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price jump as market reevaluates conflict risk on July 13
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Surges 22.7pp to 98.2% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp price rise with $23K net inflow, aligning with a surge in market conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
Polymarket’s Bitcoin $65K July odds plunge 20.5 pp as whales buy $16K YES
Despite a sharp 20.5 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity surged into the same outcome, signaling conflicting forces in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 67pp to 86% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as market sharply repriced likelihood of talks by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 20.2pp as Whales Add $17K
The market for Bitcoin dipping to $62,500 in July surged to 95.2% YES price as whale activity confirmed the move with $25K buys.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by July 31 drop 21.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?' contract saw a sharp 21.5 percentage point price decline while whale buying increased, signaling contrasting market signals.
Jul 13
Whales
$508K Whale Bet on John Fetterman Defies 0.65% Market Odds
A single trade by wallet @c0O0OLI0O03 challenges consensus in the 2028 Democratic nominee market with the largest Polymarket wager in 24 hours.
Jul 13