The market betting on Pamela Evette becoming the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina saw a sharp 32.0 percentage point drop in its YES price over the past 24 hours, plunging from 45.5% to 13.5%. This dramatic repricing signals a significant shift in market sentiment within a single day.
What stands out is the divergence between price movement and whale trading behavior. While the YES contract price fell sharply, indicating a decreased likelihood of Evette securing the nomination, whale flow did not follow suit. Instead, large traders did not align with the price action, creating a disconnect between the tape and whale activity.
The total volume for this market in the last 24 hours was $10K, suggesting moderate trading interest amid this volatility. The gap between the price decline and whale flow suggests that the market is experiencing conflicting signals, with whales potentially anticipating a different outcome than the broader market consensus implied by the price drop.
This significant price adjustment combined with divergent whale activity indicates uncertainty about Evette’s chances within the Polymarket community. The move underscores the importance of monitoring both price trends and whale behavior to fully understand evolving market expectations for this Senate nomination race.
| Market | Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2896075 |
| 24h price change | +32.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 13.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 45.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $10K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.