Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14? YES price jumps 47.5pp to 86.5%
Whale buying aligns with sharp 24-hour price surge as market volume hits $6K on Polymarket
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Sara Rodriguez’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds fall 20pp despite $10K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.0 percentage point drop in Sara Rodriguez’s Polymarket odds over 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES jumps 53.5pp to 100%
Whale trading aligned with a surge pushing the market to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds plunge 25.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket's 'US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?' YES contract dropped from 38.0% to 12.5%, but whale flow increased YES bets, diverging from the price move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 48.5 pp to 92% on Polymarket
Whale trades matched a sharp 48.5 percentage-point jump in YES price to 92%, signaling strong market conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 42pp to 86.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 42.0 percentage point increase in the YES contract price, signaling rising market confidence.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting market jumps 54pp to 87% on aligned whale buying
Whale flows and price action moved in tandem as Polymarket sharply repriced odds for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?” odds drop 15pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s contract on US sanction relief for Iran fell sharply to 13% even as whales increased YES bets, signaling a split between large investors and overall market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Tamas Sulyok Presidency Market Sees 17-Point Drop in 24 Hours Amid Whale Selling
Whales sold $20K against a 17.0 pp price fall in "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?", signaling a sharp shift in sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Jordan Walker’s 2026 Home Run Derby odds surge 87.9pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp market rally, pushing Walker’s win probability from 12.1% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 14