Core CPI YoY June YES price plunges 54.5 pp to 0.50% amid whale flow divergence
Whales bought $3K into YES even as Polymarket's price dropped sharply, signaling conflicting market signals.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Whales bought $3K into YES even as Polymarket's price dropped sharply, signaling conflicting market signals.
The “Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?” market jumped from 1.6% to 100%, with whale buying aligning with the price surge.
Whales contributed a net $6K into YES as the market sharply repriced annual inflation at 3.8% for June.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 54.9 percentage point jump in market odds on Polymarket.
Polymarket’s Iran-Gulf State conflict market saw a sharp repricing with whale activity confirming the move amid $671K volume.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract jumps from 44.5% to certainty amid aligned whale flow and $672K volume.
The market’s YES price dropped sharply from 44.1% to 15.6% in 24 hours while whale flows diverged, signaling conflicting signals on the contract.
Whales contributed $5K net buying into YES as the market price soared from 34.5% to 84.5% in 24 hours.
Whales added a net $4K into YES as the market surged from 44.5% to 63.5% in 24 hours, moving in sync with price action.
Whale flow diverged sharply as odds plunged from 70.5% to 15.7%, signaling market skepticism despite whale buying.