“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 65.8 pp to 30.0% on Polymarket
Whale flow diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket’s YES contract dropped from 95.8% to 30.0%, signaling a market rift.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Whale flow diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket’s YES contract dropped from 95.8% to 30.0%, signaling a market rift.
Whale activity and price moved in tandem as odds surged from 47.0% to certainty within 24 hours.
Polymarket’s market sharply cuts odds while whale flow pushes YES contracts, signaling a split between price and large trader sentiment.
Polymarket’s YES price dropped from 95.8% to 32.2% despite $22K whale buys, signaling conflicting signals between price action and whale trading.
Whales added $5K net into YES contracts, aligning with a sharp 24-hour price surge amid moderate overall volume.
Polymarket’s YES contract for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, dropped from 95.8% to 30.2% in 24 hours while whale buying increased.
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as the market’s probability collapsed from near certainty to under 40%.
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic surge in market odds, pushing the probability from 39.3% to certainty in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s “Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals.
Polymarket's annual inflation contract jumps from 1.6% to 100% YES price with $21K whale net inflow confirming the move.