Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 37.5 Points Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's “Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” contract fell from 72.0% to 34.5% despite whale activity diverging from the price move.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 45.1pp to 4.3% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s contract on US imposing Hormuz fees saw its YES price collapse from 49.5% to 4.3% in 24 hours despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 54.9 pp on Polymarket
Whale buying flow diverges sharply from a steep drop in YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israeli Parliament Dissolution Odds Surge 56 Points to 68%
Whale activity and price movement aligned as bets on July 16 dissolution jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 60.8pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from price, with $32K net inflow into YES as market price plunged from 95.3% to 34.5%.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?” YES price drops 32.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s YES contract for Houthi shipping attacks falls sharply despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES odds surge 36pp to 98.6%
Whale activity matched the sharp 36 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction in the outcome.
Jul 14
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Market Surges 34.7pp as Whales Back the Rally
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24-hour YES price jump from 58.5% to 93.2%, signaling strong market conviction on Bitcoin hitting $65,000 in July.
Jul 14
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? YES price plunges 43.2 pp amid whale buying divergence
Whale activity diverged sharply from a 43.2 pp drop in YES price, highlighting conflicting signals in the Polymarket market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Credible public sale market jumps 44pp to 85.5% with $21K whale inflow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price surge from 41.5% to 85.5%, signaling strong conviction in over $30M committed.
Jul 14