Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 46pp despite $7K whale buying
Whales increased YES bets by $7K while market price dropped from 57.0% to 11.0% in 24 hours, diverging from whale flow.
Jul 19
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran Offensive Halt Market Drops 22pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Whale activity moved against the sharp 22pp drop in the US halting Iran offensive operations market, signaling differing views on the outlook.
Jul 19
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive by July 24? YES price drops 28pp despite whale buying
Polymarket's 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?' market sees a sharp 28pp decline in YES price amid divergent whale activity.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 47pp despite $7K whale buys
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?' contract fell sharply in price while whale buying diverged from the downward move.
Jul 19
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US halting Iran offensive drops 19.5 pp amid whale divergence
The market price for a US announcement to stop Iran offensive operations by July 24 fell sharply while whale flow opposed the move, signaling conflicting signals in trader behavior.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market YES Price Plunges 38pp Despite $5K Whale Buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 38pp drop in probability for Iran Gulf military action on July 15, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 19
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive drops 41pp to 10.5% despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 41.0pp decline in the probability of US halting Iran offensive by July 24, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US halting Iran offensive drops 30.5 pp to 10.5%
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market sentiment swung against a US halt by July 24
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds tumble 35pp despite $5K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 35.0 pp drop in Polymarket’s Iran Gulf military action market.
Jul 19
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran Offensive Halt Market Drops 41.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
The probability for US halting Iran offensive operations by July 24 fell sharply despite whale activity opposing the price move.
Jul 19