Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball odds jump 94.8 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whales backed Rodri with $162K net buys as the YES price soared from 5.2% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
#%ssports betting
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 35 stories.
Breaking
Messi top scorer market crashes 71.6pp as whale flow bucks price move
Despite a 71.6 percentage point plunge in Messi’s top goalscorer odds, whales added $2.21M in YES bets, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 19
Breaking
England’s odds to score most goals at 2026 World Cup jump 82.4pp to 82.5% on Polymarket
A $44K net whale inflow supported a sharp 24-hour rise in the market’s YES price from 0.15% to 82.5%.
Jul 19
Whales
Whale buys $440K on Argentina winning 2026 World Cup, against 41.2% market odds
A single $440K buy on Argentina in the World Cup Winner market bucks the 41.2% implied probability and aligns with broader whale buying.
Jul 19
Breaking
England 4th Place Odds Collapse 65.5pp to 0.05% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket's World Cup contract on England finishing 4th plunged sharply while whale activity did not support the move, signaling a major shift in market sentiment.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi Top Scorer Odds Plunge 53.1pp as Whale Flow Diverges on Polymarket
Despite a $272K net whale inflow, market confidence in Messi as 2026 top goalscorer dropped sharply to 5.0%.
Jul 18
Whales
$1.53M net whale flow into YES on England winning 2026 World Cup contrasts 0.05% market price
Whales have bought $5.45M against $2.44M sold in 24 hours despite a near-zero market-implied probability for England's victory.
Jul 16
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 FIFA World Cup Win Odds Drop 22pp Despite $157K Whale Buy-in
Whale activity on Polymarket diverges from sharp 24-hour price decline in Europe’s World Cup winning chances.
Jul 16
Whales
$276K Net Whale Flow Buys Into England Win at 22.7% Price in World Cup Market
Whales added $276K net to YES on England winning 2026 World Cup, diverging from the market price under 23%.
Jul 15
Whales
Whales Net $560K Into Spain Win Market Despite 22.7% Price
Large traders increase exposure to Spain in 2026 World Cup market while overall odds remain steady.
Jul 14