Whales
$440K Bet on Kim Kardashian for 2028 US President Defies 0.45% Market Odds
Top trader @JustCrazy places $580K in bets on celebrity presidential outcomes, challenging market consensus with a high-stakes wager on a longshot.
Jul 16
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?” odds drop 21.5 pp in 24h on Polymarket
YES contract on Credible public sale market falls sharply despite whale activity diverging from price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Polymarket: Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 44pp despite whale selling
YES price on Trump-Netanyahu meeting drops from 60.0% to 16.0% while whale flow diverges, net selling YES
Jul 16
Breaking
John Healey Defence Secretary Odds Drop 17.5pp Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket’s market on John Healey’s 2026 Defence Secretary appointment fell sharply while whale flow diverged, signaling uncertainty.
Jul 16
Breaking
Mike Lindell’s 2026 GOP Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.5 Points to 46.5%
Whale trading aligned with the price surge as Mike Lindell’s chances in Minnesota’s 2026 GOP primary near parity on Polymarket.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 32.5pp despite whale flow divergence
Polymarket's market on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13 dropped from 48.0% to 15.5% in 24 hours as whale bets diverged from the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for Shabana Mahmood as UK Chancellor in 2026 jump 55.7 pp to 88.2% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $41K net buying into YES contracts, aligning with the sharp price increase in the past 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
YES price on $35M Credible public sale market drops 15.5pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract price fell from 42.0% to 26.5% while whale activity did not follow the decline, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 36.5 points despite whale buying
YES contract on Iran military action falls from 49.0% to 12.5% as whale flow diverges from price move
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 Access Extension Jump 31.5pp to 66.5% in 24h
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market reassesses likelihood of extension by July 19.
Jul 16