@JustCrazy executed a $440K buy on the market “Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” This wager stands out for backing an outcome with a market-implied probability of just 0.45%, marking a significant bet against the consensus. The same wallet also placed a $140K buy on “Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”, bringing total bets today on celebrity candidates in this event to $580K.
The market for the 2028 Presidential Election Winner has seen $38.88M in total volume, with whale activity on this specific market favoring buys at $688K against $6K in sells over the past 24 hours by 122 unique whales. @JustCrazy’s $440K buy joins this broader whale-driven buying pressure.
This wallet carries a robust track record, boasting 76.1% accuracy across 301 resolved positions and a Brier score of 0.1651. With $51.89M in lifetime volume spanning 888,019 trades and 1,538 markets, @JustCrazy is a seasoned participant whose moves often shift market dynamics.
Backing Kim Kardashian with nearly half a million dollars at odds implying a longshot status highlights a substantial divergence from market expectations. This sizable wager underscores a noteworthy positioning shift in the market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, signaling confidence in an unlikely candidate despite prevailing market skepticism.
| Direction | BUY |
|---|---|
| Market | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
| Event | Presidential Election Winner 2028 |
| Wallet | @JustCrazy · 0xc21ea96be762bb55041529af6e386e7c53b80215 |
| Amount | $440K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-16T07:46:11Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.